Mental model

Three Ways of Analyzing Decisions

Understanding how we can analyze statements and decisions through three lenses: what should be, what is, and what we should do.

Discover

When your GPS says 'Fastest route is usually the highway,' is this telling you what should be, what usually happens, or what you must do?

Consider what this statement is actually telling you.

Understanding this distinction helps you think more clearly about everyday information.

Understand

Understand

These three ways of analyzing information help us understand different types of statements. Descriptive statements tell us what actually is or happens (like 'people often check their phones first thing in the morning'). Normative statements express values about what should be (like 'we should spend less time on devices'). Prescriptive statements give specific instructions for action (like 'turn off your phone during dinner'). Notice this: Recognizing which type of statement you're hearing or making helps you understand what kind of reasoning you're using.

Full explanation

Full explanation

These three analytical approaches help us separate facts, values, and recommendations. Descriptive thinking focuses on observing reality and explaining patterns without judgment. It answers 'what is' questions by documenting actual behavior, outcomes, or relationships. Normative thinking deals with values, ethics, and ideals, answering 'what should be' questions based on principles, standards, or goals. It establishes criteria for evaluating whether something is good, right, or desirable.

Prescriptive thinking builds on both to recommend specific actions, answering 'what should we do' questions. It provides clear guidance by connecting our values to our actions. For example, a doctor might observe that patients who exercise regularly recover faster (descriptive), believe that good health is important (normative), and then recommend specific exercises to a patient (prescriptive).

In business, a manager might notice that remote workers report higher satisfaction (descriptive), value both flexibility and collaboration (normative), and then create a hybrid work schedule (prescriptive). This framework helps avoid confusing observations with recommendations and makes our reasoning more transparent and effective.

Research

Research

The distinction between normative and descriptive statements has deep philosophical roots, particularly in the fact-value distinction articulated by David Hume and later by philosophers of science. This separation is fundamental to clear thinking across disciplines, from economics to ethics to artificial intelligence.

In economics, the normative-descriptive distinction separates positive economics (describing how economies work) from welfare economics (making value judgments about how economies should work) [1]. In ethics, the is-ought problem highlighted by Hume shows that descriptive statements about what 'is' cannot logically determine normative statements about what 'ought' to be without bridging premises [2].

AI researchers use these distinctions to categorize systems: descriptive AI predicts outcomes, normative AI evaluates options, and prescriptive AI recommends actions [3].

Hume (1739): Demonstrated that facts about the world cannot logically determine moral values without additional normative premises [1].

Simon (1997): Showed how decision-making requires both descriptive models of how people actually choose and normative models of how they should choose [2].

Russell & Norvig (2020): Explain how AI systems separate perception (descriptive), evaluation (normative), and action (prescriptive) capabilities [3].

Limitations

Limitations

The distinction between these three modes can blur in practice. What appears descriptive often carries hidden normative assumptions through word choice or framing. Prescriptive recommendations sometimes masquerade as descriptive observations to seem more objective. Additionally, people frequently switch between modes unconsciously, leading to confusion in communication. Cultural differences affect what people treat as facts versus values, and individual perspectives on controversial topics might differ dramatically on which statements are descriptive versus normative.

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Sources

Sources

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Check your understanding

A manager says: 'Our team consistently meets deadlines when we prioritize tasks' and then adds: 'Therefore, you should use the Eisenhower Matrix.' Which best characterizes these statements?

Show the guide's explanation

Answer: First is descriptive, second is prescriptive

The first statement describes what actually happens (the team meets deadlines when prioritizing), while the second tells you what specific action to take (use the Eisenhower Matrix).

Which statement demonstrates the clearest normative thinking?

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Answer: Companies should offer flexible work options to improve work-life balance

This statement expresses a value judgment about what should be done ('should offer') based on a principle (improving work-life balance), which is the hallmark of normative thinking.

Why does the GPS statement 'Fastest route is usually the highway' exemplify descriptive rather than prescriptive thinking?

Show the guide's explanation

Answer: True

The GPS is describing what typically happens (the highway is usually fastest) rather than telling you what you must do. You could still choose a different route based on other values like avoiding tolls or enjoying scenery.

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